Only 46,062 Corona Virus Deaths World Wide

We could fit twice that number in the Shoe comfortably and watch a Buckeye's game.

I noticed you gave no base orcexponent.
The shape of a generic exponential growth curve is well understood. I don't need pictures.
Just saying "exponential" is meaningless unless you can tell me the function

 

Allow me to provide some meaning.

At the current rate, the number of deaths in America is going to double every ~3.5 days.

 

I defer to the government and experts. Until I see evidence to the contrary I will accept the white house numbers and that the actions taken by the admin are reasonable. So to answer your question, YES I think what we are currently doing is leading to the result that the administration is predicting. If I get sick of course I would either stay at home or seek medical aid but I would not want to expose others needlessly.

Now maybe you can start answering my questions...

 

No it is not worse or more contagious. Seasonal flu is indiscriminate and kills across age groups. Covid kills far more selectively. Get a grip, or are stress testing the language filter?

 

What are the predictions?
What percent of the population gets infected?
What will the death rate be?

 

You can say the same for every cause of death. It comes down to resources and willingness to make the extreme sacrifices that would be necessary to save every person in every instance...

 

Actually the "recovered" group could literally be millions as doctors admit, many do not even know they have or had the Wuhan virus.

 

One _________(fill in the blank) related death is too much.

 

LOL!. Another trumper who thinks they know more than the experts.

You are about to learn about something that doesn't exist in the trump world. It is called reality.

 

If my 80 year old father with heart issues gets the flu, I'm not worried he's going to die. I cry every night worried he is not protecting himself enough and will get covid which will very likely kill him.

I hope no one close to you dies. Just don't infect others.

 

They will just change the song. "At least it wasn't millions who died, Trump saved us!"

 

It lasted a few years.

 

It is tracking closely as N = 300 x e^0.204t, where N is the total number of infections in the US, and t is the number of days since Feb 28th. I did that a few days ago based on 30 days of data.

 

We have plenty of proof of the trump idiocy and foolishness that cost tens of thousands of lives. They can't deny dead bodies.

Fox News, Limbaugh et al are going to be sued out of existence. They killed a lot of people.

 

I believe that information was available in the president's press conference yesterday. It may not have been communicated directly but I believe they had the information there. Do you not believe the president's numbers or do you not believe they exist?

 

The USA will be lucky to ONLY Lose 200,000.

Our cases are spiking higher than Italy.

Pence said that the USA should expect an Italy-Like Scenario.

 

How do you believe them if you don't know them?

 

One month ago, there were 156,944 deaths.
Twenty days ago, there were 1,569,440 deaths.
Ten days ago, there were 3,138,880 deaths.

As of yesterday, there were 4,708,000 deaths.

And 11 months from now there will be 56,500,000 deaths.

This happens every day of every month of every year without Coronavirus. The only difference between April 1, 2019 compared to today is that US unemployment didn’t increase by 20 million in just 1 week, and that’s no April Fools joke either.

 

No. I think this is a very nasty bug and not to be underestimated. I HOPE we can keep it down to under 200,000 in the world. I assume you mean deaths.

We broke 42k deaths yesterday, and that's with China likely lying and concealing deaths.

We were at 21k on March 25 so doubled in 6 days, after doubling over the previous 6 days.

If that continues we'll be at 84k by April 6
168k by April 12
336k by April 18

So - I'm not sure keeping it under 200k is still a realistic possibility.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

US deaths are doubling every 3.5 days
Italy every 7.5 days - that's improving
Spain every 5.5 days
France every 5.5 days

So, we really aren't yet seeing the improvement necessary get us off hitting 300k this month, and maybe a lot more, but, hopefully we will, and very quickly.

Dares anyone to come after the toilet paper she just bought from Costco​

 

So roughly every 5 days the exponent increases by one.
Following the curve of e^x multipled by a constant.

But of course that's not a true transmission rate as long as there is a backlog of as yet to be tested positives. Implicit in this function is the growth rate of testing

 

Also if the first documented case was jan 19,
That was 72 days ago.

Assuming there was only one person with the virus at that time,
By your function there would be 93,342,163 infections by now. And at a 1% percent death rate, there would be 933421 deaths in the USA

 

In my childhood, my uncle use to say:
How many birds would remain if you throw one stone at a flock of birds? And would answer none, as all will fly!
As such, the danger of being dead is what matters, not the actual death.
Just because the lost Americans lives might turn out to be much less than 100000 (complacently) , doesn't mean you should endanger the lives of tens of millions.

 

That may explain the slow roll out of reliable testing.

 

You should be. But you're not because you're not getting a daily body count of flu victims thrown at you on 24/7 news channels

 

Why didn't they have problems in other countries?