Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

My county has decided to go off the deep end.

Even though the people parks are open, the dog parks have to stay closed, because there is a possibility of a minuscule risk that this thing can pass from dogs to humans. Does it matter that the dog park is huge and I've never seen more than six dogs there at a time? Nope.

We are now required to wear masks outside, even if there are no people around.

They've set up a hotline, so if a busybody in her house sees you alone at the park without a mask, she can report you. Fine is $50, per person, per incident.

 

The state of Florida has just reported +10,109 new COVID-19 cases for 2020-07-002.

Yes, you read that number correctly. For the first time ever, a US-American state reported a daily C19 + number in the 5-digit zone....



Also, the USA has already jumped more than +22,000 new cases total and only 20 of 50 states have reported - and some of them have reported only interim numbers. States like California update their numbers more than once per day. Texas as well.

 

With 5 hours left in my day, 7 hours left in the day at worldometer and 11 hours left in the day on the East Coast of the USA, the world has already jumped +112,000 new C19 cases since I wrote the morning analysis.

 

You’ve posted several alarming info.....

Are you an alarmist?

 

LOL! Nope.

I'm a factualist.

 

San Antonio Methodist Hospital is doing some new things with COVID-19 patients (the hospital is already over capacity, with a waiting list): for instance, instead of ventilators, in the case of C19 patients where the lungs are too damaged, they are oxygenating the patients' blood outside the body, using a hose and pump system. In cases where the lungs are not as damaged, they are using ventilators.

Also, San Antonio is reporting that there is a sharp rise in pregnant women with COVID-19. They have now restructured an entire wing to be a natal ICU wing and that wing is 90% full already.

The medical personnel at a number of Texas hospitals now believe that the asymptomatic rate among pregnant women = 30%.

The most severe cases they are getting are people between 22-40. The majority of them are men who are fit and have few or no comorbidities.

 

Herman Cain, former presidential candidate and also a Trump surrogate, has tested positive for COVID-19. He was at the Tulsa rally less than two week ago and tested positive 9 days after the rally. He is in the hospital and apparently, quite ill.

 

How does Trump expect to retain his Minuscule Black Support of he is giving them COVID?

 

India, currently rank 4, has set a new record today, reporting +21,371 new C19 cases, going from 605,222 to 626,591 and is now only 34,574 cases behind Russia (661,165). This is, to-date, the 2nd time that the world's second largest nation went over +20,000 new cases. Again, to compare, in the USA, the state of Florida all by itself +10,109 cases....

Almost 1.4 billion people live in India. Were its testing to come up to the level of the USA, I bet that India would be reporting between +100,000-200,000 cases per day.

 

It's clear that the coronavirus is finding new hosts to infect and then spread the infection, especially in America and around the world. The one advantage China has had(if I give credence to their numbers) is that the infection was limited to Wuhan, and they didn't have to worry about outsiders bringing coronavirus into China, it was already *in* China.

So control for the Chinese was a hell of a lot simpler then it was for Europe and for America(of course, we wish China took the same steps it took with SARS in 2003 and had closed its borders, but way too late for that and it's just being a pissant at this point.)

Now that the virus is everywhere(you made this point I think like a hundred pages ago), there's nowhere on earth where we can escape the coronavirus. Forget a national plan, we need a world wide plan to exit this together, because we can't have it be that there are some low spots, and some high spots.

 

Germany has reported +270 new C19 infections today and 2 deaths. Americans would be overjoyed to see such numbers. The Germans are not; they are concerned.

A hotspot appeared at a meat packing plant not all that far from me about 2.5 weeks ago and I think these numbers are still a result of that.

The RKI (Robert Koch Institute, the German version of the US-American CDC) reports numbers that are from 10 days ago. They go through an extremely acribic process of double, triple and quadruple checking data before publishing anything.

The German virologist who has kind of become the face of the pandemic response in Germany, Hendrik Streeck, caused some furor in the last days as he said on TV that there will be no second wave, but rather, one long permanent wave with highs and lows until a vaccine is found. He used the term "Dauerwelle" to describe a continuing wave, which is kind of a joke, for it is a double-entendre: Dauerwelle also means a "permanent", as in when a woman goes to the beauty parlor....

This same Streek is now being sued by an anonymous person who claims to be a scientist, claiming that he faked the numbers in the Heinsberg study (Heinsberg was the very first hotspot in Germany).

The core of the criminal complaint is this:

In concrete terms, the plaintiff, according to the criminal complaint, is basing his claims on an interim report over the Heinsberg-study from April 9th, 2020, where a relationship between hygenic measures, the viral load and the intensity of the Corona-illness was indicated. He is claiming that in the study, no hard data was collected in order to support a scientific verdict of this relationship.


A huge difference between Germany and the USA is that this will not be sensationalized, but rather, an investigation is running. This means that the name of the plaintiff should remain anonymous (that is German law) unless he or she decides to identify himself beforehand. Should it end up that Streek fudged the numbers, there will be a hard punishment for him. But should the plaintiff end up having simply blown smoke out his ass, he or she can actually land in jail for wasting the court's time. So, I will be reporting on this as more news comes in.

Here is an article about this, in German, if you are so inclined:

https://www.wa.de/nordrhein-westfal...e-coronavirus-betrugsvorwurf-zr-13819774.html

Streeck is one of the youngest, if not the youngest head of a virology department in Germany. Getting this far but yet being so young has surely earned him some enemies along the way. @gnoib

-Stat

 

Since then, China has conducted 90.4 million new tests and shut-down the capitol city of Beijing, so I assume that once the Chinese finally release the total cases and total deaths since their numbers slowed down to a molasses drip at the end of February, we may be looking at a 7-or-8-digit number all at once, when it comes to total cases. I wouldn't be surprised were it to dwarf the US-American numbers. Wait and see.

 

Germany is definitely a healthier and more robust democracy than the US.(and I'm not saying that's due to Trump exclusively or primarily.) I think the German way of life, the citizens and how they have this community feel to them. Democracy is strong in Germany, because after two world wars and much loss and devastation they came closer together.

As a American-German, I definitely have pride in my German heritage and my closely related brothers and sisters in Deutschland.
Ich liebe das deutchen volk
(long live the German people.)

 

The US-state of Georgia has just reported a record +3,472 new C19 cases. Yesterday, Georgia reported +2,946 such cases. Today, Georgia has reported +37 daily deaths. Yesterday, it was +22.

This is absolutely not going in the right direction. This is not what flattening the curve looks like.

 

Some perspective:

on Monday, 2020-07-022, the state of Florida crossed over the 100,000 line in total C19 cases and became rank 7:




And now, here is where Florida stands right now, 10 days later:



So, in 10 days, from 2020-06-022 to today, 2020-07-002, Florida has gone from 100,217 to 169,106, +68,889 cases in 10 days, or an average of 6,890 cases per day.

Just to be crystal clear, were all of the 57 Units of the USA (50 states, DC, 2 territorial regions, Veterans Affairs, the US Military, the US Prison System and the Navajo Nation) to report only half as many cases as Florida did today, then the USA would post a daily + total of: 285,000. So, pray that other states do not become like Florida.

Oh, and just to get a look into the past, here was Florida two months ago, on 2020-05-002:



I'll just let that graphic speak for itself.....

 

It's time for the US to take the coronavirus seriously, and the President should take it seriously. Not merely to improve his re-election odds, but to do what he can for the American People. And if that means wearing a mask in public, the President should wear a mask in public.

And he can have his rallies like these sport teams are doing: Without fans, since he gets media exposure online.

 

Ok, this DID make me laugh some:

 

Today in Sydney...



Summer you guys know about; winter not so much.

Then there's Cairns...



A nice day for the beach.

 

New Jersey has reported all of +7 new C19 cases today. But it also recorded +24 deaths.

New York has reported +764 new C19 cases and +22 deaths.

Rhode Island has reported +88 new C19 cases and +3 deaths.

There can now be no doubt that the wave has passed in this tri-state area.

Also, Pennsylvania has to-date reported +724 new C19 cases and +21 deaths, a statistic almost identical to New York's.

 

Speaking particularly to Pennsylvania, Philly is going to sort of pause it's Green opening phase, because of the cases coming back up(+143), but Philly isn't even today's biggest culprit. It's sweet Alleghany)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allegheny_County,_Pennsylvania

To a much different argument however, I do think there's a tad bit misplaced concern in that I personally think that as long as there are viral strands, there will continue to be a "spark" of cases per se. So whether we fully open up a month or two months from now, there's still going to be cases.

The key, is if the ICU beds, etc are overused. For the vast majority of these 20-30' somethings, the new cases. They should be able to theoretically recover quicker, and have far less casualties while building resistance(though it has been studied that the antibodies don't last too long. But the basic virological theory is that the more people who are infected or aka resistant, the less bodies the virus has to make a host for itself.)

 

The dog park thing is silly, but the other stuff is good. That's the stuff the whole country should have been doing, all along.

I disagree with the $50 fine though .. I'd make it $1000.

 

Interesting thought.

Though it might be an unfair burden to place upon those nations (many of whom are not wealthy) who've already stretched themselves to fight this thing successfully.

I would not like to see Vietnam, Greece, Thailand, etc forced to rectify someone else's failure.

 

5 days and 4 hours ago, the world went over 10 million C19 cases.

At this moment, we are only 14,000 cases away from 11 million.

It looks like we are going to spring from 10 million to 11 million in 5 days and 6 hours.

We we to keep up that pace, this means gaining 6 million confirmed C19 infections PER MONTH.

We may land at 20 million cases already in the middle of August, 2020.

 

Ok, we are now at 11 US states with more than +1,000 new C19 cases, and New York is no. 11 on the list.

8 of those 11 states are from the Deep South, 2 are from the West/Southwest and 1 is from the Northeast.

Right now, the USA is at +48,734 new C19 cases and I bet that at least 3,000 more cases are going to be added to that, maybe as many as 5,000.

So, the +51,000 from yesterday was not an abherration. It may soon be the norm.

 

I think New York answers your question. Lots of protests decreasing cases, but no bars & restaurants open yet.